Information received
since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June suggests that economic
activity decelerated somewhat over the first half of this year. Growth in
employment has been slow in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains
elevated. Business fixed investment has continued to advance. Household
spending has been rising at a somewhat slower pace than earlier in the year.
Despite some further signs of improvement, the housing sector remains
depressed. Inflation has declined since earlier this year, mainly reflecting
lower prices of crude oil and gasoline, and longer-term inflation expectations
have remained stable.
Consistent with its
statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price
stability. The Committee
expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to
pick up very gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the
unemployment rate will decline only slowly toward levels that it judges to be
consistent with its dual mandate. Furthermore, strains in global financial
markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The Committee anticipates that inflation over the medium term will run
at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate.
To support a stronger
economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate
most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a
highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee
decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4
percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates
of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium
run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate
at least through late 2014.
The Committee also decided
to continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average
maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in June, and it is
maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its
holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency
mortgage-backed securities. The Committee will closely monitor incoming
information on economic and financial developments and will provide additional
accommodation as needed to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement
in labor market conditions in a context of price stability.
Voting for the FOMC
monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice
Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Jerome H.
Powell; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Jeremy C. Stein; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C.
Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker,
who preferred to omit the description of the time period over which economic
conditions are likely to warrant an exceptionally low level of the federal
funds rate.
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